BAD END : Another Eschatology : II
fallacies
Getting sticky.
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"Let us suppose that on festival day, a busker upon the street presents to you a jar filled with beads — a thousand in number; all of obsidian, save for one. Amongst them, he claims, there lies a single bead of glass, colored in ceruleum. Blindfolded, you may for a threepence draw from the jar a single bead; and if it happens that that withdrawn is of ceruleum, he'll offer forth a handsome prize. What think you of his proposition?"
"Truthfully? Even that he were to place the ceruleum bead into the jar before my eyes, I would presuppose a contrivance of some manner to cleverly remove it from the lot; or that the prize he offers isn't to begin with worth the threepence paid."
"Spoken from experience, I see. Nevertheless, say that I — the foremost wizard in all Britannia — were to guarantee to you that there isn't here any attempt at subterfuge; and that the prize is truly worth the wager. How do you evaluate your chances?"
"As I'm nowhere near as credulous as cousin Bradamante, I'd suspect the inception of a confidence trick — and you, the busker's obvious accomplice. Don't think I've forgotten the mischief you visited upon me in Ethiopia."
The magus chuckled.
"Come. Let bygones be bygones, and humor me a bit."
"Fine, then. Forthright, one chance in a thousand is a fool's wager; and absent a miracle, a threepence committed is likely a threepence lost. What exactly is the purpose of this exercise?"
"I seek to explicate in summary the miracle of the Grail, of course."
"How do you mean?"
"You're by now aware that what is called a Grail is definitionally an engine of wish-granting. Put to application in the scenario aforementioned, the enforcement of a wish would let that every possible permutation of chance yields the drawing of the ceruleum bead."
"I should think it a rather unworthy use of a Grail, if so applied. How qualifies this a miracle, though? Is it not merely cheating a game of chance?"
"I concede that it would hardly seem a miracle, if not for the breadth of the action prosecuted."
"The action prosecuted?"
"The march of history is not as a line, but as a tree that branches at every permutation of chance. Certainly, it wouldn't be terribly miraculous that in a single branch, an outcome is enforced that you grasp to hand the ceruleum bead — but suppose instead that such an outcome were enforced across the entirety of the tree; to every last twig. What if it were the case that in ten thousand; a hundred thousand histories, the Grail Knight Aelfthrith were to draw forth the ceruleum bead? Would that not become a miracle in the truest sense?"
"... is such a thing even possible?"
"There isn't a rule that Grails are cast of equal quality; but with the expenditure of a chalice sufficiently potent, it is indeed possible. For the briefest moment, history would converge to a singular course — irrelevant the circumstances preceding."
"But prior, you explained that myself aside, there doesn't exist in any history a single Aelfthrith who came to bear the One True Grail. How is it that in a hundred thousand histories, 'the Grail Knight Aelfthrith' could draw forth the ceruleum bead?"
"Caught that, did you? Thought I might've slipped you by. To address your question, though — by the granting of the wish would a hundred thousand histories converge upon your manifestation. It's after all on account that the permutation of chance doesn't prohibit the existence of 'the Grail Knight Aelfthrith' that we can presently here converse. Even the One True Grail is ultimately bound to act within the limits of possibility."
"I'm not certain I follow?"
"A wish is a possibility enforced irrelevant the circumstances preceding. Thus, the you who here in Avalon arrived can linger as of histories that preclude outright your very derivation — enforced to manifestation owing that you bear upon your person the Mark of the Grail."
"You speak as though I am myself some manner of wish ..."
"That's precisely the case. You alone are the Knight of Miracles. Come of a possibility long consigned to the absence without history, you're in the parlance of the magi 'a Mobile Singularity' — a fantasy of no adjacence, brought to iteration by the One True Grail."
The magus grinned.
"Therefore, by the miracle of the Grail can you alone the future reclaim."
"Truthfully? Even that he were to place the ceruleum bead into the jar before my eyes, I would presuppose a contrivance of some manner to cleverly remove it from the lot; or that the prize he offers isn't to begin with worth the threepence paid."
"Spoken from experience, I see. Nevertheless, say that I — the foremost wizard in all Britannia — were to guarantee to you that there isn't here any attempt at subterfuge; and that the prize is truly worth the wager. How do you evaluate your chances?"
"As I'm nowhere near as credulous as cousin Bradamante, I'd suspect the inception of a confidence trick — and you, the busker's obvious accomplice. Don't think I've forgotten the mischief you visited upon me in Ethiopia."
The magus chuckled.
"Come. Let bygones be bygones, and humor me a bit."
"Fine, then. Forthright, one chance in a thousand is a fool's wager; and absent a miracle, a threepence committed is likely a threepence lost. What exactly is the purpose of this exercise?"
"I seek to explicate in summary the miracle of the Grail, of course."
"How do you mean?"
"You're by now aware that what is called a Grail is definitionally an engine of wish-granting. Put to application in the scenario aforementioned, the enforcement of a wish would let that every possible permutation of chance yields the drawing of the ceruleum bead."
"I should think it a rather unworthy use of a Grail, if so applied. How qualifies this a miracle, though? Is it not merely cheating a game of chance?"
"I concede that it would hardly seem a miracle, if not for the breadth of the action prosecuted."
"The action prosecuted?"
"The march of history is not as a line, but as a tree that branches at every permutation of chance. Certainly, it wouldn't be terribly miraculous that in a single branch, an outcome is enforced that you grasp to hand the ceruleum bead — but suppose instead that such an outcome were enforced across the entirety of the tree; to every last twig. What if it were the case that in ten thousand; a hundred thousand histories, the Grail Knight Aelfthrith were to draw forth the ceruleum bead? Would that not become a miracle in the truest sense?"
"... is such a thing even possible?"
"There isn't a rule that Grails are cast of equal quality; but with the expenditure of a chalice sufficiently potent, it is indeed possible. For the briefest moment, history would converge to a singular course — irrelevant the circumstances preceding."
"But prior, you explained that myself aside, there doesn't exist in any history a single Aelfthrith who came to bear the One True Grail. How is it that in a hundred thousand histories, 'the Grail Knight Aelfthrith' could draw forth the ceruleum bead?"
"Caught that, did you? Thought I might've slipped you by. To address your question, though — by the granting of the wish would a hundred thousand histories converge upon your manifestation. It's after all on account that the permutation of chance doesn't prohibit the existence of 'the Grail Knight Aelfthrith' that we can presently here converse. Even the One True Grail is ultimately bound to act within the limits of possibility."
"I'm not certain I follow?"
"A wish is a possibility enforced irrelevant the circumstances preceding. Thus, the you who here in Avalon arrived can linger as of histories that preclude outright your very derivation — enforced to manifestation owing that you bear upon your person the Mark of the Grail."
"You speak as though I am myself some manner of wish ..."
"That's precisely the case. You alone are the Knight of Miracles. Come of a possibility long consigned to the absence without history, you're in the parlance of the magi 'a Mobile Singularity' — a fantasy of no adjacence, brought to iteration by the One True Grail."
The magus grinned.
"Therefore, by the miracle of the Grail can you alone the future reclaim."