That's why the Adept in Cultist Simulator was only allowed to summon 3 of themThe power of having four different Names at our disposal
).
Servants should be rolling at -10 rather than -20, since they use our base stats as their modifier, iirc.
I think Jade would be enough, considering her reroll and Lantern 4, and Rarity is in my opinion needed for her job. If she doesn't NEED to work, then she should do a commission instead, and then we can use those extra bits to help with expeditions on turn 21.Because Baldomare can superscry so we can make sure that Copper will stop being a problem and Rarity can't
Servants + Rarity + Comet should have an average result of ~161, which would put it well within feasible finishing distance for Selene next turn.
Edit: Also keep in mind re: Selene finishing it next turn that she should be able to throw both her actions at it. That would be 40 progress minimum, so if the Servants + Rarity + Comet combo roll average or higher, Selene would 100% finish it out.
Though technically, the Rarity + Servants + Comet combo has a ~23% chance of finishing it off themselves this turn. Which is low, but not zero!
Edit 2: In the interest of transparency, I'm assuming that between Rarity and Comet's stats, it'll balance out to effectively a +10 modifier for each of their rolls. If they both have sucky Intrigue, the average will be a bit lower, but, eh.
both Bird AND Baldomare warned us about playing to win vs playing to not lose.
Also, on that one mass social plan with Incarnadescence, I just want to say that I am highly amused by the idea of so many people getting to experience the walking corpse of Velvet Covers. Especially with the Cannibal Name's full Influence on her.
More seriously, a mostly dead pony still swinging some +60-ish to social is definitely an interesting image. That's gonna be some real tragic beauty shit right there.
We could try Jade + Selene x2 + Servants. It's doable.Alright, fixed search odds. Thanks for the corrections.
This is guessing Rarity has 9 intrigue (1 less than "A pony trained in that field") and Comet has 7 (worse than our martial, lol. Maybe I should give him more credit. Or less. Wait, can we bring Fluttershy instead
Baldomare + Rarity + Servants: 77%
Baldomare + Luna + Servants: 84%
Baldomare + Luna + Rarity: 95%
Rarity + Comet + Servants: 15%
Rarity + Comet + Luna + Servants: 62%
(Check my math here)
So... without Baldomare it's pretty low odds. But we can finish it next turn probably?
Problem is that is if we have any sort of "Guard the house" action in the list (which we should, just in case), Selene's going to call dibs I'm pretty sure, if telling people wins (atm it's ahead, I think). Someone also has to take the Grave expedition site, and depending on how Bird prioritizes things, she might end up on that instead of Outsider.
Ah I misread
That takes Luna + Rarity + Comet + Servants to 68% success? Not great, not awful...
Nah. Commission is taxing and guarantees failure of work. If we don't need the bits this turn, we shouldn't do it.
Do they have to?
Yup.
I mean. I guess technically we don't have to? If we're getting our last Knock 4 scrap from DoA, we could give Baldomare the Knock 5 book at EoT21 and save giving the Level 6 book for EoT24. We should keep the Moth book though, so we can get Sacrament once we're ready.
…huh. I mean, okay, that's a point, but I'm more caught up in the realization that getting an Influence from Marinette and then socialing her is gonna be really funny. Just on it's own.
Aaaaand… we can't use one of our Level Five books?
We need to present the Level 6 book to befriend her, otherwise we'd need to wait another 3 turns to get the same chance.
We can, but giving her a Level 6 book gets "progress" towards the friendship of Baldomare, which can provide unknown benefits.
And even then, we're not technically resting completely because making friends means more fuel for the fire! The fire being our inscrutable plans, of course.
Could have the detectives investigate more while the constables are raiding the hive? I doubt they're going to find everything there is to find in a single month.
Comet leader + Axe OR Mareinette follower for Grave is overkill, Selene is unnecessary.Problem is that is if we have any sort of "Guard the house" action in the list (which we should, just in case), Selene's going to call dibs I'm pretty sure, if telling people wins (atm it's ahead, I think). Someone also has to take the Grave expedition site, and depending on how Bird prioritizes things, she might end up on that instead of Outsider.
Edit: Granted, with how frustrated he's been at us completely ignoring our win conditions, I wouldn't be surprised if Selene gets put on Outsider search and Comet takes the Grave instead
also Grave expedition and Rarity probably making us money.
well, we COULD give Baldomare a lvl 5 book, but lvl 6 progresses her "friendship questline" so to speak, AND we only need to spend like 50 bits max on it and ONE follower action (probably Comet, with Axe or Mareinette as followers not using actions to help)
We may think so, but in the end it comes down to Bird's optimization priorities, doesn't it? Especially since tag-alongs aren't determined at the turn start.
As a reminder, summoning MitLs (or anything really) on T21 will be impossible. Our three-circle "site" expires at the end of T20.
As one point iirc Bird referred to our conversation with her at the end of her first summoning period, which is equivalent to what would have happened if we gave her a Level 5 book at the time, as a relationship freebie. And considering that conversation followed with "something good will happen if you give her a Level 6 book" or something like that...
I do not have exact WoQM, and am typing something else at the moment, so can't quite look it up.
Personally I don't remember that first bit, but fair enough. Honestly, I'm just trying to make sure y'all aren't falling into the trap of wanting something, but it being so innocuous that you never stop to think if it's actually going to give you what you want.
I mean, nothing rules out me misremembering.