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Vote Thread for Ack's Omake Corner

Discussion in 'General' started by Ack, Feb 18, 2015.

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  1. SwiftRosenthal

    SwiftRosenthal Connoisseur.

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    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
    [X] I, Panacea - 5
    [X] One More Trigger - 4
    [X] Trump Card - 3
    [X] Hostage Situation - 2
    [X] Wyvern - 1
     
  2. Sinner_sb

    Sinner_sb Experienced.

    Joined:
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    2,701
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    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
    [X] I, Panacea - 5
    [X] Security! - 4
    [X] Hostage Situation - 3
    [X] Trump Card - 2
    [X] NSW - 1
     
  3. EJH

    EJH Know what you're doing yet?

    Joined:
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    217
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    [X] Security! - 6
    [X] One More Trigger - 5
    [X] Wyvern - 4
    [X] Trump Card - 3
    [X] I, Panacea - 2
    [X] War Games - 1
     
  4. moontheir4

    moontheir4 Nothing to see here. Move along.

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    [X] Recoil - 6
    [X] Wyvern - 5
    [X] Trump Card - 4
    [X] One More Trigger - 3
    [X] Bait & Switch - 2
    [X] NSW - 1
     
  5. Dr. Mercurious

    Dr. Mercurious Not too sore, are you?

    Joined:
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    [X] All Alone - 6
    [X] Trump Card - 5
    [X] Wyvern - 4
    [X] One More Trigger - 3
    [X] Security! - 2
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 1
     
  6. Suzushiro Aoi

    Suzushiro Aoi The Blood Queen

    Joined:
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    82
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    [X] I, Panacea - 6
    [X] Wyvern - 5
    [X] Recoil - 4
    [X] Slippery Slope - 3
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
    [X] NSW - 1
     
    PathtoReading and TheVoid22222 like this.
  7. Warslick

    Warslick I trust you know where the happy button is?

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    [X] NSW - 6
    [X] Danny & Taylor - 5
    [X] Wyvern - 4
    [X] Meet the Heberts - 3
    [X] Security! - 2
    [X] Trump Card - 1
     
    Jim Starluck likes this.
  8. Jim Starluck

    Jim Starluck CO, ICS Vanguard

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    Mmmm... I wouldn't be so certain.

    On paper, NSW is slated to win Vote 66 just shy of 800 votes, but Recoil and Wyvern are both coming up fast. The margin will be only about 20-30 votes, and votes can easily shift by that much from one vote to another -- see the Accuracy section below.

    Assuming NSW stays on top (hehehe), Wyvern is still raking in the votes fast enough that it will handily win Vote 67 by a 40-vote margin, possibly breaking the 900-vote threshold, followed by Recoil winning Vote 68 with a good chance of passing 1,000 votes. Not much possibility for upset there; the nearest competitors are too far behind and not earning votes fast enough.

    That trend continues as Security! has Vote 69 locked down in the mid-900s, but we've finally got some close competition in Vote 70: All Alone looks to be in the lead, but Trump Card is right on its heels, and Meet the Heberts isn't far behind. On paper it looks to be Alone -> Trump -> MtH, but they're close enough that things could change dramatically by then. Either way those three will dominate Votes 70 through 72.

    Then it's new kid on the block Wyvern again, back in the mid-900s for Vote 73. Alea Iacta Est will try to join the 1k club in Vote 74, as will I, Panacea in Vote 75.


    In terms of vote accuracy, we had a surprising upset this time around: Hostage Situation defied all predictions, coming in 52 votes higher than expected -- a difference of 85.47%, more than double that of anything other than Confrontation II, which itself got 28 votes higher than last forecast. Most predictable was Junior Hero, earning just 1 vote more than anticipated at 99.82% accuracy.



    ...aaand I just realized I forgot to vote for myself last cycle, and my vote could've put NSW over the top. Goddammit. :mad:

    [X] NSW - 6
    [X] Meet the Heberts - 5
    [X] Security! - 4
    [X] I, Panacea - 3
    [X] Recoil - 2
    [X] One More Trigger - 1
     
    pepperjack, Alayne, Chase92 and 4 others like this.
  9. Navrin

    Navrin Experienced.

    Joined:
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    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
    [X] Wyvern - 5
    [X] Nemesis - 4
    [X] Hostage Situation - 3
    [X] Trump Card - 2
    [X] Security! - 1
     
  10. Lord Ultimus

    Lord Ultimus Gone for Good

    Joined:
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    34
    Likes Received:
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    [X] Slippery Slope - 6
    [X] One More Trigger - 5
    [X] Wyvern - 4
    [X] Trump Card - 3
    [X] I, Panacea - 2
    [X] War Games - 1
     
    ViperhawkZ and TheVoid22222 like this.
  11. Anaja

    Anaja I trust you know where the happy button is?

    Joined:
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    [X] MirrorVerse - 6
    [X] All Alone - 5
    [X] One More Trigger - 4
    [X] Security! - 3
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
    [X] Wyvern - 1


    I'm not sure how I ended up making that particular pair of mistakes, but it won't happen again.
     
    Alayne, Ack, 1986ctcel and 2 others like this.
  12. Asheram

    Asheram Know what you're doing yet?

    Joined:
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    192
    Likes Received:
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    [X] Wyvern - 6
    [X] Trump Card - 5
    [X] Recoil - 4
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
    [X] War Games - 2
    [X] Hostage Situation - 1
     
  13. Slayer Anderson

    Slayer Anderson Orthodox Heretic

    Joined:
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    [X] Really Bad End - 6
    [X] Danny & Taylor - 5
    [X] Meet the Heberts - 4
    [X] Trump Card - 3
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
    [X] Wyvern - 1
     
    Jim Starluck likes this.
  14. Snake/Eater

    Snake/Eater Myth Maker of the North

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    [X] MirrorVerse - 6
    [X] Really Bad End - 5
    [X] All Alone - 4
    [X] NSW - 3
    [X] Slippery Slope - 2
    [X] Nemesis - 1



    The Ack stock exchange is on!
     
    Last edited: Sep 8, 2015
  15. Anaja

    Anaja I trust you know where the happy button is?

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    Could we get an All Alone - 4?
    Also, yes on the voting a MirrorVerse - 6. That story needs much more love.
     
    Ack and Snake/Eater like this.
  16. Snake/Eater

    Snake/Eater Myth Maker of the North

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    So does Junior Hero.
     
    Chojomeka and Ack like this.
  17. WindCall12

    WindCall12 Well worn.

    Joined:
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    [X] Recoil - 6
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 5
    [X] I, Panacea - 4
    [X] Wyvern - 3
    [X] Meet the Heberts - 2
    [X] Security! - 1
     
    Anaja and Jim Starluck like this.
  18. ArbaletShot

    ArbaletShot Know what you're doing yet?

    Joined:
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    Messages:
    140
    Likes Received:
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    [X] Recoil - 6
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 5
    [X] I, Panacea - 4
    [X] Wyvern - 3
    [X] Confrontation II - 2
    [X] Security! - 1
     
    Anaja likes this.
  19. Throne3d

    Throne3d Getting sticky.

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2015
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    97
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    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
    [X] Recoil - 5
    [X] Trump Card - 4
    [X] Security! - 3
    [X] Junior Hero - 2
    [X] Nemesis - 1
     
  20. hendy853

    hendy853 Know what you're doing yet?

    Joined:
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    Messages:
    113
    Likes Received:
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    [X] Confrontation II - 6
    [X] Wyvern - 5
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 4
    [X] Recoil - 3
    [X] All Alone - 2
    [X] Slippery Slope - 1
     
    Anaja likes this.
  21. Sporadic Scribe

    Sporadic Scribe Not too sore, are you?

    Joined:
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    489
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    [X] NSW - 6
    [X] Meet the Heberts - 5
    [X] One More Trigger - 4
    [X] Hostage Situation - 3
    [X] Confrontation II - 2
    [X] Bait & Switch - 1
    I believe that is what they call human error.;)
    How about a 3 for NSW?
     
  22. Muroshi9

    Muroshi9 I'm so ronery So ronery So ronery and sadly arone

    Joined:
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    [X] Wyvern - 6
    [X] I, Panacea - 5
    [X] Trump Card - 4
    [X] One More Trigger - 3
    [X] Recoil - 2
    [X] Security! - 1
     
    Anaja likes this.
  23. Jim Starluck

    Jim Starluck CO, ICS Vanguard

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    I blame the fact that I did my predictions update on my cell phone while at work. I normally do predictions and my own vote at the same time, but it's a lot harder to copy-paste my vote on the phone as opposed to on my PC. Then when I finally got home, I forgot that I still needed to vote, and never went back to do it before the vote was called.
     
    1986ctcel, Ack and Navrin like this.
  24. nobodez

    nobodez Bringer of Context

    Joined:
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    [X] Wyvern - 6
    [X] Recoil - 5
    [X] Trump Card - 4
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
    [X] All Alone - 2
    [X] Hostage Situation - 1
     
    Anaja likes this.
  25. Fizzfaldt

    Fizzfaldt (Unverified Flying Book)

    Joined:
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    125
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    [X] Security! - 6
    [X] Recoil - 5
    [X] Trump Card - 4
    [X] I, Panacea - 3
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
    [X] Wyvern - 1
     
    Anaja likes this.
  26. Snake/Eater

    Snake/Eater Myth Maker of the North

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    Sure
     
    Sporadic Scribe and Ack like this.
  27. Snake/Eater

    Snake/Eater Myth Maker of the North

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    I'm willing to be fair and have my last two spots of my votes go to anyone wiling to - 2 MirrorVerse on their vote
     
    Ack and ViperhawkZ like this.
  28. seeing_octarine

    seeing_octarine Unverified Colour

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    Just as planned.

    No, not really, because I was actively trying to engineer that tie, and NSW was trailing without my vote. :p

    Annoyingly hard thing to do though.
     
    1986ctcel, Photon, Ack and 1 other person like this.
  29. GladiusLucix

    GladiusLucix Versed in the lewd.

    Joined:
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    [X] Meet the Heberts - 6
    [X] Wyvern - 5
    [X] War Games - 4
    [X] Hostage Situation - 3
    [X] Danny & Taylor - 2
    [X] All Alone - 1
     
    Jim Starluck likes this.
  30. ViperhawkZ

    ViperhawkZ Emperor of Kanata

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    Tell you what, I'll take that deal. Throw Slippery Slope on 2 and Nemesis on 1.

    [X] Slippery Slope - 6
    [X] Nemesis - 5
    [X] Trump Card - 4
    [X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
    [X] MirrorVerse - 2
    [X] War Games - 1
     
    Ack, TheVoid22222 and Snake/Eater like this.
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