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Vote Thread for Ack's Omake Corner

Reader mode
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] One More Trigger - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] Hostage Situation - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Security! - 4
[X] Hostage Situation - 3
[X] Trump Card - 2
[X] NSW - 1
 
[X] Security! - 6
[X] One More Trigger - 5
[X] Wyvern - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] I, Panacea - 2
[X] War Games - 1
 
[X] Recoil - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Bait & Switch - 2
[X] NSW - 1
 
[X] All Alone - 6
[X] Trump Card - 5
[X] Wyvern - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Security! - 2
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 1
 
[X] NSW - 6
[X] Danny & Taylor - 5
[X] Wyvern - 4
[X] Meet the Heberts - 3
[X] Security! - 2
[X] Trump Card - 1
 
Ack said:
A photo finish was had indeed. NSW and War Games tying on 746; I'm giving this one to War Games because it hasn't come up yet. NSW will probably be next.

After that, I predict some more close calls; first between Recoil and Wyvern, and then between All Alone and Security!. All fun and games, folks.
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Mmmm... I wouldn't be so certain.

On paper, NSW is slated to win Vote 66 just shy of 800 votes, but Recoil and Wyvern are both coming up fast. The margin will be only about 20-30 votes, and votes can easily shift by that much from one vote to another -- see the Accuracy section below.

Assuming NSW stays on top (hehehe), Wyvern is still raking in the votes fast enough that it will handily win Vote 67 by a 40-vote margin, possibly breaking the 900-vote threshold, followed by Recoil winning Vote 68 with a good chance of passing 1,000 votes. Not much possibility for upset there; the nearest competitors are too far behind and not earning votes fast enough.

That trend continues as Security! has Vote 69 locked down in the mid-900s, but we've finally got some close competition in Vote 70: All Alone looks to be in the lead, but Trump Card is right on its heels, and Meet the Heberts isn't far behind. On paper it looks to be Alone -> Trump -> MtH, but they're close enough that things could change dramatically by then. Either way those three will dominate Votes 70 through 72.

Then it's new kid on the block Wyvern again, back in the mid-900s for Vote 73. Alea Iacta Est will try to join the 1k club in Vote 74, as will I, Panacea in Vote 75.


In terms of vote accuracy, we had a surprising upset this time around: Hostage Situation defied all predictions, coming in 52 votes higher than expected -- a difference of 85.47%, more than double that of anything other than Confrontation II, which itself got 28 votes higher than last forecast. Most predictable was Junior Hero, earning just 1 vote more than anticipated at 99.82% accuracy.



...aaand I just realized I forgot to vote for myself last cycle, and my vote could've put NSW over the top. Goddammit. :mad:

[X] NSW - 6
[X] Meet the Heberts - 5
[X] Security! - 4
[X] I, Panacea - 3
[X] Recoil - 2
[X] One More Trigger - 1
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] Nemesis - 4
[X] Hostage Situation - 3
[X] Trump Card - 2
[X] Security! - 1
 
[X] MirrorVerse - 6
[X] All Alone - 5
[X] One More Trigger - 4
[X] Security! - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1


Ack said:
Anaja - Numbers. Please. I had to go back and find your vote and enter all the numbers manually. Please do not do this again.
Also: MirroVerse - please spell this correctly.
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I'm not sure how I ended up making that particular pair of mistakes, but it won't happen again.
 
[X] Wyvern - 6
[X] Trump Card - 5
[X] Recoil - 4
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
[X] War Games - 2
[X] Hostage Situation - 1
 
[X] Recoil - 6
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 5
[X] I, Panacea - 4
[X] Wyvern - 3
[X] Confrontation II - 2
[X] Security! - 1
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] Recoil - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] Security! - 3
[X] Junior Hero - 2
[X] Nemesis - 1
 
[X] Confrontation II - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 4
[X] Recoil - 3
[X] All Alone - 2
[X] Slippery Slope - 1
 
[X] Wyvern - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Recoil - 2
[X] Security! - 1
 
Frosty Wolf said:
I believe that is what they call human error.;)
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I blame the fact that I did my predictions update on my cell phone while at work. I normally do predictions and my own vote at the same time, but it's a lot harder to copy-paste my vote on the phone as opposed to on my PC. Then when I finally got home, I forgot that I still needed to vote, and never went back to do it before the vote was called.
 
[X] Wyvern - 6
[X] Recoil - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
[X] All Alone - 2
[X] Hostage Situation - 1
 
[X] Security! - 6
[X] Recoil - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] I, Panacea - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1
 
[X] Meet the Heberts - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] War Games - 4
[X] Hostage Situation - 3
[X] Danny & Taylor - 2
[X] All Alone - 1
 
Snake/Eater said:
I'm willing to be fair and have my last two spots of my votes go to anyone wiling to - 2 MirrorVerse on their vote
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Click to shrink...

Tell you what, I'll take that deal. Throw Slippery Slope on 2 and Nemesis on 1.

[X] Slippery Slope - 6
[X] Nemesis - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
[X] MirrorVerse - 2
[X] War Games - 1
 
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