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Pax's Alternate History Snippet repository.

March 1923 New
March 1923
The paper work pushed up was in austere military language. The man who had written it had come out of the quartermaster's corp and it showed. The central bank had a mandate for long term stability. That was its mission orientation, and objective for operations. Even the framework it had been written in was something that the professor, that Reisnch had remarked had a militarized tone. Maybe he was right, that the English language charter, and even its vernacular chinese translation, had been written by officers immersed in the profession of arms. Those men had also largely presided over the finalization of text books for primary school.

Compulsory education had begun as part of the cadre's efforts to education the children of company employees, and then of Xian's urban populace growing further and then of whole provinces as they had assumed the mantle of provincial governance. Where Reinsch disapproved, the elder Forrest, Allen's father had begrudgingly acknowledged that they were doing things as he put it in 'the right fashion'.

None of the cadre were immune to the shift in opinions put forward in papers. It was a sentiment found in former soldiers of the British Empire ingrowing numbers and that was making the rounds now. That required a man to read them, which was a facet of having public papers and ones that wrote for the working class, or for younger men.

The education program put forward by the committee was bi lingual. It favored english because of the lack at the time of formalizing vernacular Chinese. Chinese was to be the language of arts, of poetry of compositions. Most the cadre agreed with Hodges's observation a decade ago that chinese tonal ballads were quite pleasing to the ear after all. It would have to share history to some degree, but mathematics, and science were taught in English. As a result for all talks of baihua of vernacular chinese English was the language of political discourse... and in Xian this entailed men in the broadsheets continued to use words taken from the vernacular of the army.

So editorials which came from educated men here often read like the reports he read from his staff... and sometimes they were even from the same pens. Burke was a popular source of quotes. His father opposed mercantilism, and the cadre agreed it supported free trade in principle even if it had been disabused of any notions that trade would make people peaceable, would keep them from doing anything foolish. Property rights supported by Burke, were paired with criticism of French trade policy and protectionism.

Broadsheets went out, casting a much cleaner break in things than was true. That showed in certain claims put out there that had their roots in the previous century.

Capitalism was an anglo-saxon tradition, born from developing of industry, of industrializing. Western Europe... Spain, France and expanded to include Germany were not capitalist countries in the world view the cadre wrote about. It was the combination of common law, which included views on property rights, of national banks and corporate bodies that had evolved before and after the English civil war that had given modern England and then the colonies their tools. It was scientific thought like Bacon and the man Lewis was named after.

But it also as their generation had recognized, that protestant churches were not immune to swindlers and thieves, the pilgrims of New England and their founders were a prime example of that historically, never mind their absurd hand wringing over witches. Embezzlement violated the fiduciary duties a man had to his organization... it was a felony. A crime which entailed particularly egregious breaches of decorum. The leaders of the pilgrims had run from England for being accused of financial mismanagement after all.

Allen pinched the bridge of his nose. The pattern of embezzlement that had crippled the Qing was a frequent topic in the papers. Men railed against it. Railed against it vigorously. That was fine. The problem was that it created new internal problems... sort of internal problems. "We had suspicion that Zhang Xun took the bank specie." Which frankly he had been entitled to at least some of that, maybe even all of it. The pony tailed general had been rich, but rich as a result of his position.

The vernacular literati, and the english papers alike were quick to find fault with the enrichment of the Jun-fa system... the corruption and tax farming that pervaded particularly the coastal provinces but truthfully contributed also to the mess of szechwan. Zhang Tso-lin was shielded from some criticism for Manchuria's success, for his successes in various reforms, but plenty were willing to tar him after last year's defeat. Cao Kun was unfortunately not immune for he was a fairly hands off sort, who enjoyed the prestige as dujun of Zhili in name but largely left things to others as he grasped for still other posts... and that was a familiar sort of thing

Waite addressed the elephant in the room, "Cao Kun's ambitions are going to be a problem, but lets not play around. The real difference between our papers and Shanghai's is this business Sun's gotten himself in with the Bolsheviks."

... and Xian's papers, and their writers were not happy. Sun's history of failed rebellions were trotted out, the lack of military successes called out to civilian readers as well, but it had more sway on a politically involved military class here. Especially since Lenin and his members had few real military successes, had humiliated themselves at brest litovsk and yet insisted on using military language, a term meaning 'playing soldiers' the same insult that Zhang had tarred Wu with with ironically enough was thrown around.

Allen stopped massaging the bridge of his nose, and glanced over to the engineer, "Whats new on that front?"

"Realistically not a whole lot." Marx's nonsense was largely limited to the population that had connections to European education. The success of the bolshevik revolution to seize power in an exhausted Russia one that had been beaten black and blue by the Kaiser's army had attracted attention from radical students and intelligentsia in treaty ports, and on universities. "I'd attribute his success to the failures of others. We don't have this problem because there is a home grown literary culture. And one that is quick to distinguish details and reasons for success to given concrete explanations for success. Shanghai has too many gangsters causing trouble, too many incidents that stir up sentiments of resentment and not enough things to have pride in locally." Cullen's chinese half siblings had lived in Shanghai before 1914 and before things had reoriented to Xian after Bai Lang had been killed, and the European war began. "That's my read anyway. Sun's partnership with the Soviets is mostly wind, the bolsheviks can't really afford to give him much more than recognition that isn't worth much anyway... he might well have read too much into Rapallo," the treaty between Germany and the Bolsheviks, "if he's expecting support, or the bolsheviks are expecting a communist party they both seem as like to be disappointed."

"What do you think we should expect?"

"We didn't come into this business with continentals in tow," Waite remarked speaking up, "Or englishmen for that matter that's why the papers are the way they are. Think about it, the States have always enjoyed a good opinion to the Chinese public, it helps that there have been other things, the Dutch sinophiles come to mind, or our ties to Luzon." The government of the United States was not perfect by any means but, "But as a general rule we came in buoyed by a popular impression of our country. We compounded that starting capital with success, and thus the public impression of the hundred of us who started it stands where it did when the old dynasty did collapse."

And even though it didn't always seem like it that had been a long time ago now. Waite was right, the end of the European War had meant the influx of many new faces, new experts from Europe but people who had seen the European continent at war... but that industrial war had come with numbers and explanations even as it had been unfolding to Xian's populace at large. A populace that frequently had exposure to the language used by the army as well. "Cole, this bit about Zhang Xun and the gold, how much of it do we think is still in play?"

"I'd guess a lot," Cole replied, "enough that he's still relevant in Shanghai's circles. The back chatter between Zhang Xun, Zhang Tso-lin, and the Guomindang ... I'd say that they're planning to go around again."

"And these actions in Shanghai?"

"He's a big enough player financially, he has a sworn brother at the stock exchange who is the middle man for the money, but its Zhang Xun's money to be sure." Something to speak with Percy about, Allen suspected, but Cole continued, "It means he is probably the main source of hard currency in this group of strange bedfellows... but it'll be his money I think that will pay for arms that come into Shanghai." Tso-lin could buy his own weapons, or have his own rifles manufactured, and Zhang Tso-lin was buying from lots of people, including Vickers to the consternation of some.
 
Thanks for chapter - embazzement was norm in Asia,i read that tsar beaurocrats could take bribes almost officially as long as tsar get his due and beaurocrats take according to their rank/ they were accused of takib above their ranks,not taking them/

But - China indeed made it kind of art.In Quing Dynasty beaurocrats even had special drawer in desk for bribes,so they do not mistake them from money which should get Emperor.

It is good,that they try to made it smaller here.
 
Thanks for chapter - embazzement was norm in Asia,i read that tsar beaurocrats could take bribes almost officially as long as tsar get his due and beaurocrats take according to their rank/ they were accused of takib above their ranks,not taking them/

But - China indeed made it kind of art.In Quing Dynasty beaurocrats even had special drawer in desk for bribes,so they do not mistake them from money which should get Emperor.

It is good,that they try to made it smaller here.
Right, and if I ever go back and flesh out Allen's time in Civil Service / Legation duty in Joseon Korea this will come up as welland like the Cadre deals with embezzlement and fends off the Qing problem of bureacratic malaise and misappropriation by one implementing better pay for civil servants, having near constant (relatively speaking) exposure to higher authority and having full time staff where individuals aren't expected to support their own staff everyone is being paid by a formalized bursars office
 
Right, and if I ever go back and flesh out Allen's time in Civil Service / Legation duty in Joseon Korea this will come up as welland like the Cadre deals with embezzlement and fends off the Qing problem of bureacratic malaise and misappropriation by one implementing better pay for civil servants, having near constant (relatively speaking) exposure to higher authority and having full time staff where individuals aren't expected to support their own staff everyone is being paid by a formalized bursars office
I understand that controlling the pay of staff from a single point, i.e, bursars office will make corruption harder but how would exposure to higher authority lessen corruption?
 
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I understand that controlling the pay of staff from a single point, i.e, bursars office will make corruption harder but how would exposure to higher authority lessen corruption?
Its a matter of accountability, effectively part of the issue with long 19th century corruption was that officials and this included the US and UK was that superiors were often far away and this was was before the telegraph and telephone networks were really widspread. Dispatches and cables took at times weeks and months to review as ATP notes this made embezzlement basically ubiquitous and an entirely new leadership had to be brought in where there was more effective direct oversight. It's setting a new standard in leadership while also making direct accountability easier this is particularly important with dealing with newly established organizations
 
Its a matter of accountability, effectively part of the issue with long 19th century corruption was that officials and this included the US and UK was that superiors were often far away and this was was before the telegraph and telephone networks were really widspread. Dispatches and cables took at times weeks and months to review as ATP notes this made embezzlement basically ubiquitous and an entirely new leadership had to be brought in where there was more effective direct oversight. It's setting a new standard in leadership while also making direct accountability easier this is particularly important with dealing with newly established organizations
According to what i read,brits started to hire people after Cambridge and Oxford to counter embazzement in colonies, becouse they thought that people from those places would be less inclined to take bribes.

It not worked too well,but,as a result ,entire british civil service was staffed with them later.
Dunno if it is true,or not.
 
According to what i read,brits started to hire people after Cambridge and Oxford to counter embazzement in colonies, becouse they thought that people from those places would be less inclined to take bribes.

It not worked too well,but,as a result ,entire british civil service was staffed with them later.
Dunno if it is true,or not.
Corruption in the British colonies especially in Shanghai had significant corruption of both civil and royal navy offices. Usually in stocks of supplies the Oxbridge people came in but their leadership or the old hands on station were there still to show them the opportunities to enrich themselves

the maritime customs service was ironically the exception but that was probably because they were under constant scrutiny so there was less corruption not none
 
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April 1923 New
April 1923
The Albatross was Xian's principle aircraft in service well outstripping its nearest competitor. 170 planes including those assigned to training squadrons were in service across the country. The majority of those planes were configured in twelve man observation and reconnaisance squadrons ussually in groups of two squadrons for every strike squadron.

It was also the aircraft as a result of domestic production and tested reliability that served in Middle America and now according to Powell in Liberia. Taken together the Cadre expected total numbers to reach about three hundred... by the end of the fiscal year. All of that hadbeen made possible due to the Albatross's use of plywood. That was the same idea that de Havilliand wanted to pursue in his larger engine design, though he was insistent they move to a twin engine monoplane. That was probably the way forward... but for Xian's needs for the moment the Albatross sufficed.

These things were both in Allen's interest, but also beyond his technical expertise. He had to let the racers work, and he had to allow the up and coming to push ahead. "You want to re engine them?"

"With an aluminum V8."

"How many?" He asked.

Bill's major glanced to him for an answer. "Guo, he asked you." The texan stated at the look, "We wouldn't be here if I didn't think this was worth doing."

"Eighteen planes. A full squadron plus six reserves."

He mulled over it. That was a pretty big ask, and why Major Guo was worried about asking in the first place. There had been talk about reingining the fleet with newer more powerful engines. Engines were maturing as supplies became more available now that the war was over, "Tell me Major why are you not writing this up as a request to have new built planes constructed?" He decided to side step the six reserves because truthfully given the air force that really was the bigger ask. Out of a 170 planes there were nine combat squadrons which in practice were geographically located in South Shansi, with the Western Brigade, under Bill, at Qinghai, and with Northern Command at Xian. In practice that meant1st​ Division 3rd​ and 8th​ had artillery spotter planes and theoretically had planes that could deploy as bombers. Northern and South Shansi were the divided elements of the Eastern Brigade of the Air Force.

In practice a squadron typically had three reserve planes. There was always a demand for new planes both for the training squadrons and the action arm of the service. Procurement was vastly behind demand. That was the Major's principle issue. If he wrote up a request not only would he be the latest request from his own command he'd be behind all the other requests from two other Air bases.

Bill however could not just sign an order saying here take an entire squadron offline and take the spares for the rest. Eighteen planes was a hell of an ask. "Its a racing engine?"

"Yes."

The conversation continued. Talks of horsepower, liter capacity, the cooling system. Other things. The major had learned what he could... and had ideas. It was a reminder that they were where Japan had been before the war, and that Japan's aircraft were now maturing. This kind of talent, as Bill no doubt recognized, had to be nurtured for the next generation. "I cannot at this time give you 18 planes major. I can give you six." He glanced to Bill, "And I figure that your commanding officer can manage to find you another couple. There are conditions though, for my six. In a couple of months the races are going to put on for the air force commission. If you're ready by that point, that's fine, but if you're not that'll be alright." There were plans for an air mission to tour the states, Britain, and Europe, some of the men insisted they should study how birds flew, and some men having looked at aircraft were talking about how those lessons could even be applied to shaping the new diesel locomotives to improve their performance by reducing drag.

That was the thoughts of looking forward. To push forward.

The original albatross had wanted to use an inline V8, but the engine hadn't been there yet. That and there had been a war on. In peace time it was easier to work on engine technology. That was part of the reason why there had been talk of finding a more powerful engine. There were still arguments about whether inline V8s were there yet. It wasn't just a question of engine power, it was a question of engine reliability. They had officially taken the Albatross into service when the air force had stood up in 1920. There were two competing lines of officers in the race going forward. It was not just the racers competing against themselves, it was officers who wanted to expand the air force in numbers.

Those men were looking at the Army and its expansion and asking where their service could not expand. Part of that was engine production. They had invited de havilliand along because of his interest in composite airframes because that had been one of the limiting bottlenecks of the war production for planes.

They had understood that from business talks during the war. From steps taken by Wilson's government as part of the war production authority. The air frame was something they were going to have to get around...hence the Albatross, hence looking to work on that with other materials without trying to chase down the expense of going to a metal skinned bird. The limitation for that was of course engine power.

Most of the racers agreed that metal aircraft were coming, but the question was how far out were they, and de Haviliand didn't see them being anywhere close to the timetable. He expected that the next incremental step would be mono wing composite hull plywood aircraft ,enclosed cockpits would follow for that. Metal hulls in his approximation were ten years down the road... it was always Allen found it'll be a decade was how long it would take something. That was the progression rule of thumb it seemed... and part of that was engines.

They needed to produce more engines. Engine designs needed to be more robust, both in power and in reliability. In Allen's opinion, in the opinion of most of the cadre, now was precisely the time to do this sort of research. Airplanes had proven they had place in military endeavors. Over flights from the Bashan line, Southern Shansi, showed and monitored movements in Szechwan, they were working stabilized cameras to take pictures of what was going on at Orenburg just over the Kirghiz border with the Bolsheviks without actually having to fly on their side... and of the pilots were probably violating the letter of their orders to take pictures on the other side of the wire.

The European War had been a trial by fire. It had lead to a crash development program of pushing and pushing to get the most out of what was available because the war justified spending ever more sums of money... but that money was going to come due. Companies after the war governments had been saddled with debt. Now though they weren't in a life or death struggle they could experiment prudently, and expand what they knew.
--
Notes: The necessities of early interwar air power, what we don't touch on here are the growing civilian applications of airplane technologies as they hit their stride, air mail in particular, but also passenger transport and the like.

An air squadron nominally is 12 aircraft this is not a guaranteed strength and there would be a pool of reserve aircraft to draw from but also training squadrons are pulling from the same pool of aircraft, there are a handful of other late war and early interwar aircraft in service at this point and other aircraft will show up, but again as pointed out this is the era of engines are your major limiting factor
 
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April 1923 New
April 1923

The Cadre came back from 'Winter break' with so much to do. Really though the winter furlough, winter block leave was largely in name only for them. The truth was that the work didn't stop not when the work was running a country. Waite might not have liked putting it in those specific terms but it was true... and with the second congress having been seated in March predominantly with incumbents of the 1st​ congress returning that was how it was.

Allen had to suspect even Waite's supporters were starting to get a bit tired of his repeated complaints about use of certain language; the sort of language that implied that they were independent of Peking. Still Waite argument was in part at least a response to Curzon trying to treat Tibet as independent of Peking. The cadre might not have come to this country with such in mind, but the truth was they were there. The officers of the General Staff, the men who made and tested out war fighting ideas who reviewed and studied all the new tools of war were politically active. They were men who had daily interactions with cadre men.

Waite could complain about running a country being a problematic statement... but it was what they were doing. Jun had an almost visceral dislike of certain provinces, and that was true for others as well. It wasn't just limitted to Jiangnan but most of the lands south of the river got that brush. Yunnan, and Szechwan were quarrelsome... Shanghai was 'a den of gangsters'. Still Bai Lang had been from Henan, Henan's gentry were a problem politically. Xian could not support, would not support a Manchu restoration. There was little sympathy for the Qing dynasty.

Thus there were political positions within the representatives who while perhaps not ready to issue a declaration independence from Peking certainly didn't care what the South thought. They didn't care what the old parliament's membership had to say. The Guomindang representatives could go pound sand. That had been true of opinions already.

A couple of months earlier Sun had gotten together with a soviet agent... and that looked like it was going to turn into sending students to the soviet union for 'military and economic education'. That was a bad fucking joke. Whether anything would really come of it was debateable, but perhaps the bigger problem was the state of relations in the north not being smooth either. "Soviet Russia," Waite remarked, "is probably just schizophrenic." He remarked..."Now all this nonsense of 'independent republic," Was just that, was nonsense, it was quite apparent that Soviet Ukraine took its marching orders from Moscow, "but Lenin wants loans, and machinery and technical expertise... and I hate to say it like this but, Ford is deluded enough when it comes to thinking peace can be brought with trade that he'll probably go along with it."

There were some annoyed expressions at this but no one objected to the conclusion reached. Lenin's NEP was a grudging admission that bolshevism and communist economics didn't work. At least anyone who could do basic math could have figured that out as the famine had wracked the country two years earlier... Ford thought that since Lenin had let Hoover come in to help, and was letting some degree of free enterprise, even if stifled by bureaucracy, that he had a shot to 'preserve world peace' as he had put it.

"We'll put all of this before the Congress at large, its better they recognize that the whole world is a mess." Bill stated glancing to his right.

"It might spook them."

"Maybe so," The texan replied, "But I'd rather them hear it from us." He glanced to Dawes, "Any chance we could nudge Ford towards all the new countries since he's making nice to the reds."

Dawes shrugged, but acknowledged he was going to attempt to answer the question rather than yield 'the floor' to Waite, "Its a question of capital. Latvia no, the Finns are a maybe, but I doubt it personally... Poland is certainly big enough but they're too friendly with France. Now Ford certainly could try, but trucks require roads... and the tsars even when they had inclination weren't too good at building those. We could suggest it, but there would probably be little gained... but nothing would be hurt if we phrased it right. I think the best solution though would be arms efforts," The Poles already used a sensible modern caliber after all, " further licensing of rifles and machine guns." Clemenceau had urged a cordon sanitaire around the soviets and while the Cadre would never admit echoing the idea guns and technical specifications for them, "artillery would be good as well, but there is a certain degree of both doctrinal conservatism to fight up hill against, but also fiscal conservatism. Persia, Afghanistan here in Asia, Kirghiz certainly talk to the Finns, the Latvians as well as the Poles. It certainly won't hurt anything." Versailles had made a mess of European trade. Some of that was just it acrimonious nature, including boneheaded efforts to preserve French privileges in what was supposed to be a peace treaty. Some of it was less clear cut things, but by products of changes in borders. "There are the Turks as well, anyone we can push to get on the rifle caliber," 8mm. "can then be encouraged to machine guns of the like and since Germany isn't supposed to well the biggest potential rival is out of the race for now."

Waite cleared his throat, and finally Dawes ceded, "There is Tibet as well. With Kirghiz we have space between us and the Bolsheviks. For which Kurzon means to shield India... but the brits are going to want to sell goods to the Russian market, even while they admit," in this case the Tories espoused, "That if the soviets get their feet underneath them they'll be a threat in the east, that they'll cause trouble over the borders, in Persia and try and threaten India by stirring up trouble... and the truth is that Imperial Prerfence doesn't change the reality that British industries need raw materials, and the baltic is a lot closer than sailing through Suez, or even across the Atlantic." Better Powell's MAK than the soviets though. Still it was transportation costs which was the main thing now with demand back at peace time levels. Central Asia's railways had been fundamentally changed after 1918 and the downfall of the Russian Empire. Railways keep prices down even accounting for the down time needed to work on coal fired steam boilers for cleaning and other maintenance. "I believe our priority should remain within Asia, and that the railways should be the main artery for which we provide goods as it allows for a standard load, and reliable schedule."

Trucks were an excellent supplementary, and final distribution option. Once you were at a rail head then if the roads were available you could move them onto trucks and load the goods either loose, or on skids to that final distribution warehouse.

Carter shuffled slightly as Shellman who was beside him signaled he needed a word in, when acknowledged the doctor voiced first his support the railway linkages which was basically accepted by the cadre already based on the previous work especially since it was generally hoped that as ford tractors could be shipped to Kirghiz to mechanize some of their agriculture in turn that grain would be available at market, "There is chatter about the situation on the continent. The French weren't happy about rapallo," Which very very few people were, "But also that France might try rapprochement with the Bolsheviks potentially over any war scare with England." Before the war in Europe the French had antagonized England repeatedly on colonial issues, including risking war over events in the vicinity of Suez and in North Africa as well other events in Egypt and southernly parts of the dark continent, "But France is also broke... and them going to Morgan for loans means Harding could order him to stop if they actually do blunder into a fight..."

But it was not so much the possibility that France might really start a fight so much that a war scare that had been normal enough when Victoria had ruled, and before 1914, it was that it would distract from Asia. "The French haven't recognized the Soviets yet."

"Not yet, but they probably will... which," Shellman paused, "I'm not going to lie it is very likely to set Hughes off like a firecracker." He shook his head, "But like with England, France wants raw materials lumber, grain, oil, those sorts of things, but the soviets may only manage a fifth of what the Tsar exported before the war."

Which for a country as geographically large as the Soviet Union was terrible...but also the Soviet Population was going from rough estimates say maybe one hundred to one hundred ten million, possibly somewhat higher. Going from the 1920 census Xian estimated her six provinces totaled about a bit under half of the soviet population's conservative estimate. The census estimate, such things never being entirely sure things was something close of fifty million, maybe forty seven million souls in 1920... 1930's census was going to be the country's big reveal in terms of determining the demographic health of north china. That matter of people though was further effected by where they lived in relation resources like water, and transportation infrastructure.

"As Percy is apt to point out again," likely the next time they spoke," The British House," Of Commons, "talks of the importance of Chinese trade."

"We shouldn't forget that the Custom's service was the majority of the Qing's revenue." Shellman added, "But you'd have to be blind to see thats true of Peking but not the case of the larger ... well warlords. The customs service increasingly has less sway for industrial bases." He meant Manchuria but it would have been just as easy to speak of Xian that way. The look Dawes made suggested that he and Carter both recognized that. "We are closer to England," The UK, "in population than the states, Economically, by wages we're closer to Japan than Mexico." He jostled some papers forcing Carter to move over further, "The census at the end of the decade will tell us more but I really expect there is undercutting among the rural populace going on, and I have concerns about the health ministry's work."

There were glances, and Dawes raised the question, "Smallpox, or the plague?" He asked the doctor with a wary look that most the men shared.

"Well yes, but in this case I meant more about water borne illnesses, and Malaria is certainly high on that list."
--
Notes: On Demographics Without Eastern Siberia/maritime/baikal and east thereof, and without Central Asia (the -stans of the present map) The soviet population is almost overwhelmingly in the European part of the USSR even during the tsarist period most of hte population and contemporary russia is in the major european metropolitan areas.

Now that being said between those lost territories thats probably eighty million people depending on displacement and refugees and resettlement, colonization of chinese, koreans, Japanese in eastern siberia maybe a little higher in E.Siberia and what is generally referred to as Kirghiz. The cadre provinces are probably roughly a tenth of the total chinese population (Tibet is very sparsely populated during this period) Shansi, Shensi, Western Zhili, are where most of the Cadre population live Kansu, Xinjiang and Qinghai (the old western commanderies) are also relatively sparsely populated but all togethercould potential account for over fifty million people total, but could also be fewer than that.

By comparison by1925 Szechwan's population even with rampant civil war fighting wasprobably seventy odd million people it was very agriculturally productive region. Famine in Sichuan province means you have royally fucked up the situation. [Which of course is a similar situation with agriculture in the soviet union, in the volga, Ukraine, the north caucus, etc].

Additionally at this point, post Rapallo, the Soviets largest trade partner by volume of trade is Weimar Germany, and then there is pass through trade where the soviets were selling goods into germany that were then reexported to countries who didn't recognize the USSR (SO France,Britain, the US) at this point. This here isn't reciprocated, Persia, Japan, China aren't accepting transit from the USSR all traffic from Germany has to come by sea lane (in other words British or American flagged merchant shipping) and that has delays if Germany is selling goods on the international market and frankly Germany doesn't have alot of spare capital to invest abroad.

In summation what we're looking at here, and next time is the gradualist evolution of foreign policy committees and commitments in the interwar yearsfrom the Cadre perspective. IT should be noted that Baldwin is not yet in power, basically we're skipping over the entire Law Premiership [October 22 to May 23].
 
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