1921
Cox had won the south, save Tennessee... but the south had been his only wins in the contest, since otherwise Harding had spanked his fellow Ohioan something fierce...but Harding was not precisely an enthusiastic gain to the presidency... at least so far as the Cadre was concerned. From the base of operations in Guatemala the developing Middle American Cadre were pursuing the planed trunk and branch rail development which was coupled with an investment into telephone and telegraph lines, and a general motion across the post office duties . The real tell though would be if Powell could get manufacturing up and off the ground. That would be the real test of the junior office, and if they could do that then Powell would be free to pursue the fillibuster's dream... if not it was still worth the effort to try. Things were looking well enough that they needed to be here, more than they were needed at home.
"There is talk of a small arms commission."
"Yep," He agreed with Bill's statement. "Brownings, and Gewehrs aplenty... mortars probably," Most likely lighter artillery, three inchers to start... the truth was in spring of 21 with the Soviets mostly contained well things were looking a bit optimistic, and the bandit wars in Latin America had been ... well weren't to be predicted. They would be the MAK's White Wolf rebellion, and money and sinking capital to build industry would provide the leverage to what would come in the future. "Most of the stuff we've been more than willing to pass over in technical details to Poland and the Czechs..." stuff that the Reds couldn't effectively use. It would have been nice if Finland might have done the same but those talks were caught up in other quirks even though they had managed to reciprocate other requests. Access to the 155 guns the Finns had came to mind, but there were other factors... it would have been nice to be sure they could have shutoff Lenin's bandits from any and all trade but the British were waffling, there were talk of a trade agreement that was disgustingly close to an arrangement.
It wasn't the only thing they disliked as peace settled over at least western Europe, "From the sound of it Harding won't stop Wall Street from trading with them, but its just talk right now," Bill replied. "We won't really know until something happens."
"He'll push it off on Hughes," Which was lackadaisical handling in his opinion, but Harding, Hughes and Hoover, the 3Hs seemed not to be taking Lenin all that seriously from the sound of it... "I don't know how they'll square the Turks signing the treaty with them," With the Soviets, but that news had come out in January... which Allen figured were the first real bilateral arrangements to be concluded. "And then there are the French,"
"Is Morgan holding to see what Harding says?" Bill questioned folding the paper in his hands.
Allen shook his head, "No from what I hear the French are throwing a tantrum about the interest rate, if Morgan Junior wasn't such a Francophile he'd see he was throwing good money after bad, and If Harding did have sense he'd ban any further loans to the French until they put their finances in order." Wilson should not have extended a moratorium on payments it just gave the French the idea they could get their way by stamping their feet like children.
Indeed in a reminder that the Congress both held the purse and that the Senate was responsible for ratifying international agreements come the fall they would remind Harding ...arguably though they were late too and should have reminded Wilson sooner... or more strenuously.
The big clock tower chimed. Bill frowned, "they aren't doing well."
"The French or the British?" He replied
"Any of them, to be honest Al. Hell, the farmers back home got used to the French driving prices so high now they don't know what to do... especially once the French threw that tariff up."
... and from the sound of it Harding's response would be signing a riposte that was slapping a tariff for the states on the import of foodstuffs. The tariff on food was one thing, other farm products was something else, but the truth was they needed to import grain from the states, both stock grains and as a pad against the drought. Bill, and as Dawes had noted before him, was right that the demand for grain in europe had driven prices, leading to farmers taking on new debts, and bringing more marginal land under till...and now there just wasn't the demand for it.
The bickering between the Treasury,and the Federal Reserve sure as hell didn't help.
There was a knock on the door. Daniel had the family look, and the height though Allen had almost two inches on his younger brother the younger officer was in favorable company to most of the English aristocracy with regards to his build. It was what a childhood of clean air, rugged exercise, a good diet yielded.
"Its about time you finally made it," The younger Forrest remarked. "I can tell you King George won't be visiting the states, he's gin glad war time prohibition is over. Temperance doesn't sit well with him, or his cousin."
That wasn't really a surprise. "Do you like it here?" He asked regarding the London posting.
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His Majesty's Government had invited them to stay ... but according to Daniel that was equal parts gratitude and posturing around the Welsh Wizard's handling of the situation. Daniel had been on Black Jack's staff, and made friends with his British counterparts so he had ears abounding on the chatter of British high society. His posting to England was with military intelligence in the face of predictable congress wanting to rush demobilization.
"That's about the size of it."... and the pre war to post war Federal deficit had jumped thirty times... from one billion in federal liabilities to 30 it was a mind-boggling prospect on the face of it. "What about you last I heard your steel division had a hundred thousand men."
He nodded, "We actually expect to expand that. We might not have a navy to feed but there is demand for steel," Though the IJN wanted krupp steel and other naval materials... which western Shensi had chromium mines, "but with the deal with Ford we plan to expand the integration the steel mills will turn out car bodies."
"Its just as well you didn't come last year, between the business with the Czechs... George the fifth had to award medals to the widows of men who died in Northern Russia."
"Was it a problem?"
"No, it would have been a spectacle is all. I know you hate those," His brother paused, "Did you really kill a thousand bolsheviks at ekatrinburg?"
There was a scoff, "Hell no, Daniel. We came in by night and bushwhacked those bandits, and we withdrew before they properly knew we had secured our objective." The objective being the Tsar and his family. "I don't even know the full supposed strength of the reds at Ekatrinburg off the top of my head." He replied as he reached for the glass of scotch.
A quip about the cavalry followed, which did have some merit given the action. "You can expect a medal for it, all the same."
Allen's expression immediately soured from over the rim of the glass, but Bill beat him to the response, "Ah to hell with a bloody neck tie Danny."
"I'm forewarning the two of you."
"How's the war department and state feel about it?"
"With Harding, god I don't know. Wilson probably wouldn't have liked it, but I don't have a feel for the new administration yet." It went without saying that Daniel would need to step lightly until he had a grip on where the new boss in Washington stood.
"You made friends?"
"Well yeah you exchange letters with Louie, he's going to Japan." Daniel replied, "He's sweet on one of the Tsar's daughters but I'm sure you know that." He shook his head moving to glance over the ground, "I was gonna ask too what about this crazy Russian y'all have next door, claims he's a mongol prince or something?"
"Ungern."
Bill nodded, "Yeah, he's a strange one alright. He came down to visit some Church in Gansu, and its all Chingisid this and that out of his mouth, but he can ride for sure." More importantly Ungern had spent the last couple years making good on solidifying a mongolian state around him with relations, and making nice where he needed to. That solidified the net that blocked out Bolshevik agitation. "He and Zhang are pretty close I'd say."
"You all are adopting the German Mauser."
George the Fifth had invited them stag hunting... the king was in no condition to hunt of course ...probably even before being winged by the bolshevik's mouse gun of a browning, but the invitation had been made. "He is in the process of adopting Zhang's version of the rifle."
"Is it any good?"
"Yeah Its a fine rifle. Its the caliber perfect no, but its good enough." Bill replied before the conversation turned into the matter of soldiering. Of men being proficent not just in the use of firearms but also in the trade of woodcraft, of field craft and measures of fighting positions. "Ah wells its different for us Danny, the RPF back before the war wassmall but we'd go out day and night with the men, and well-"
Well, the truth was that Percy had called it early that their troop numbers were unrelated to the war in Europe. That they wouldn't be drawing down the numbers with the end of the European war.
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Notes: leaving aside the presidential election in the states this is important for other reasons in the long term. By the time we get to post ww2, there is an ideologically coherent north China state that is politically stable this among other things prevents the looting and pillaging of manchuria and the whole scale absconding of much of the industrial machinery of northern china in real life by the red army and that changes the postwar global dyanmic. The soviets have limited ability to expand in Asia except through European vectors, i.e. Ho Chi Minh in French Indochina which is a whole other can of worms down the road. It changes the situation in Korea, and of course this makes the Asianalliance ala nato and its envisioned Marshal plan component viable which will be visible after Truman is succeeded by Ike though admittedly there are other issues.
This alters political and socialdyanmics post war due to industrial factors in East Asia, and thateffects other social norms and academia.. 1st through 3rdworld modelling is something that emerges from French Sociology inthe early cold war in response to the actualization of the decline inFrench prestige and power, and this is a major factor in literatureof the period. Thats important in post war international relations.
That being said this notably skips over, though references the events of the 21 Honors Dinner in the extras tab, thats still nominally canon, its just that at the moment I haven't decided whether or not to directly canonize it in that course of events. However, basically the events happen everyone gets drunk at a large social function bolshevik agitator shoots George the V in the arm mistaking him for Nicky, there is a great fracas everyone retires for the night.